Round 24 · 23 Aug 2026 · Docklands
Port Adelaide at Essendon
Port Adelaide 104 – 95 Essendon · Port Adelaide won. We had Essendon at 34.7%, a draw at 1.6% and Port Adelaide at 63.7%.
Ratings before the game: Essendon 1213, Port Adelaide 1372, plus 55 for playing at home.
The betting market (no-vig line) had Essendon at 46.6%.
What the markets said before the start
Each source's last price before the start, as a chance with the bookmaker's margin taken out. The model's forecast never uses them.
| Source | Essendon | Draw | Port Adelaide |
|---|---|---|---|
| The model | 34.7% | 1.6% | 63.7% |
| Polymarket | 45.5% | 0.0% | 54.5% |
| Kalshi | 45.5% | 0.0% | 54.5% |
Form coming in
Last five results before this game: Port Adelaide LLLLL, Essendon WLLLL.
Other meetings this season
| Date | Game | Score | Pre-game chance of the winner |
|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Mar 2026 | Essendon at Port Adelaide | 70–133 | 67% |
The teams
Questions and answers
Who won Port Adelaide at Essendon?
Port Adelaide won 104–95 on 23 August 2026. Before the start PodiumOracle's model gave Port Adelaide 64%.