AFL
Melbourne
Rated 1532 (No. 10 of 18), 15–8 this season, 3% to win the premiership.
Season outlook
From 10,000 simulations of the rest of the season from today's ratings.
- 68%
- Finals (top ten)
- 51%
- Past the wildcard round
- 20%
- Top four
- 19%
- Preliminary final
- 8%
- Grand final
- 3%
- Premiership
- 49.7
- Projected points
Rating
Melbourne is rated 1532, No. 10 of 18. The gap between two ratings is what the model turns into a win chance: about 100 points makes a 64% favourite on a neutral ground.
Recent results
| Date | Game | Score | Pre-game chance of the winner |
|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Aug 2026 | Carlton at Melbourne | 74–55 | 47% |
Questions and answers
What is Melbourne's chance of winning the 2027 premiership?
3%, from 10,000 simulations of the next season. Melbourne is No. 10 of 18 in PodiumOracle's power ratings, updated 12 November 2026.