29 Aug 2026 · M.C.G.
Carlton at Melbourne
Carlton 74 – 55 Melbourne · Carlton won. We had Melbourne at 52.8%, a draw at 0.0% and Carlton at 47.2%.
Ratings before the game: Melbourne 1556, Carlton 1592, plus 55 for playing at home.
Weather during the game: 10°C, wind 3 km/h (gusts 8).
The betting market (no-vig line) had Melbourne at 50.8%.
What the markets said before the start
Each source's last price before the start, as a chance with the bookmaker's margin taken out. The model's forecast never uses them.
| Source | Melbourne | Draw | Carlton |
|---|---|---|---|
| The model | 52.8% | 0.0% | 47.2% |
| Polymarket | 48.5% | 0.0% | 51.5% |
| Kalshi | 51.5% | 0.0% | 48.5% |
Form coming in
Last five results before this game: Carlton WWWDW, Melbourne LWWWL.
Other meetings this season
| Date | Game | Score | Pre-game chance of the winner |
|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Mar 2026 | Melbourne at Carlton | 100–77 | 38% |
The teams
Questions and answers
Who won Carlton at Melbourne?
Carlton won 74–55 on 29 August 2026. Before the start PodiumOracle's model gave Carlton 47%.