5 Feb 2026 · Estádio São Januário
Chapecoense at Vasco da Gama
Chapecoense 1 – 1 Vasco · Draw. We had Vasco da Gama at 60.5%, a draw at 24.0% and Chapecoense at 15.6%.
Ratings before the game: Vasco 1480, Chapecoense 1391, plus 95 for playing at home.
Weather during the game: 25°C, wind 12 km/h (gusts 27), rain 0.4 mm/h.
The betting market (closing odds) had Vasco at 60.5%.
What the markets said before the start
Each source's last price before the start, as a chance with the bookmaker's margin taken out. The model's forecast never uses them.
| Source | Vasco | Draw | Chapecoense |
|---|---|---|---|
| The model | 60.5% | 24.0% | 15.6% |
| Bookmakers (3 books) | 60.6% | 24.1% | 15.4% |
| Polymarket | 62.3% | 23.1% | 14.6% |
| Kalshi | 62.1% | 22.2% | 15.8% |
Form coming in
Last five results before this game: Chapecoense W, Vasco da Gama L.
Other meetings this season
| Date | Game | Away | Draw | Home |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Nov 2026 | Vasco da Gama at Chapecoense | 42% | 30% | 28% |
The teams
Questions and answers
Who won Chapecoense at Vasco da Gama?
It was a 1–1 draw on 5 February 2026. Before the start PodiumOracle's model gave a draw 24%.