14 Nov 2026 · Arena Condá
Vasco da Gama at Chapecoense
We have Chapecoense at 28.4%, a draw at 30.0% and Vasco da Gama at 41.6%.
Ratings going in: Chapecoense 1338, Vasco 1484, plus 95 for playing at home.
Weather forecast: 24°C, wind 1 km/h (gusts 3).
How the markets have moved so far
Each source's latest price, as a chance with the bookmaker's margin taken out. The model's forecast never uses them.
| Source | Chapecoense | Draw | Vasco |
|---|---|---|---|
| The model | 28.4% | 30.0% | 41.6% |
| Bookmakers (3 books) | 17.8% | 22.2% | 60.0% |
| Polymarket | 16.4% | 21.4% | 62.2% |
| Kalshi | 16.6% | 21.7% | 61.7% |
Form coming in
Last five results before this game: Vasco da Gama DLWLW, Chapecoense LLWLL.
Other meetings this season
| Date | Game | Score | Pre-game chance of the winner |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5 Feb 2026 | Chapecoense at Vasco da Gama | 1–1 | 24% |
The teams
Questions and answers
Who will win Vasco da Gama at Chapecoense?
PodiumOracle's model makes Vasco da Gama the favourite at 42%, a draw 30%, with Chapecoense at 28%. The markets give Vasco da Gama 66% on Polymarket, 66% on Kalshi and 60% on the bookmakers.
When and where is Vasco da Gama at Chapecoense?
14 November 2026, at Arena Condá. The chances update until the start, and live during the game where there's a live feed.