10 May 2026 · Estádio São Januário
Athletico-PR at Vasco da Gama
Athletico-PR 0 – 1 Vasco · Vasco da Gama won. We had Vasco da Gama at 45.7%, a draw at 29.2% and Athletico-PR at 25.1%.
Ratings before the game: Vasco 1489, Athletico-PR 1504, plus 95 for playing at home.
Weather during the game: 22°C, wind 19 km/h (gusts 51), rain 0.1 mm/h.
The betting market (closing odds) had Vasco at 51.7%.
What the markets said before the start
Each source's last price before the start, as a chance with the bookmaker's margin taken out. The model's forecast never uses them.
| Source | Vasco | Draw | Athletico-PR |
|---|---|---|---|
| The model | 45.7% | 29.2% | 25.1% |
| Bookmakers (2 books) | 52.6% | 27.7% | 19.7% |
| Polymarket | 53.2% | 27.4% | 19.4% |
| Kalshi | 53.0% | 27.8% | 19.2% |
Form coming in
Last five results before this game: Athletico-PR LWLWD, Vasco da Gama LDWLD.
Other meetings this season
| Date | Game | Score | Pre-game chance of the winner |
|---|---|---|---|
| 4 Nov 2026 | Vasco da Gama at Athletico-PR | 3–1 | 18% |
The teams
Questions and answers
Who won Athletico-PR at Vasco da Gama?
Vasco da Gama won 1–0 on 10 May 2026. Before the start PodiumOracle's model gave Vasco da Gama 46%.