4 Nov 2026 · Arena da Baixada
Vasco da Gama at Athletico-PR
Vasco 3 – 1 Athletico-PR · Vasco da Gama won. We had Athletico-PR at 56.8%, a draw at 25.5% and Vasco da Gama at 17.6%.
Ratings before the game: Athletico-PR 1532, Vasco 1469, plus 95 for playing at home.
Weather during the game: 19°C, wind 7 km/h (gusts 11).
The betting market (closing odds) had Athletico-PR at 38.4%.
What the markets said before the start
Each source's last price before the start, as a chance with the bookmaker's margin taken out. The model's forecast never uses them.
| Source | Athletico-PR | Draw | Vasco |
|---|---|---|---|
| The model | 56.8% | 25.5% | 17.6% |
| Bookmakers (3 books) | 37.9% | 28.9% | 33.2% |
| Polymarket | 38.9% | 28.1% | 33.0% |
| Kalshi | 39.0% | 28.5% | 32.5% |
Form coming in
Last five results before this game: Vasco da Gama WDLWL, Athletico-PR DWLDL.
Other meetings this season
| Date | Game | Score | Pre-game chance of the winner |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10 May 2026 | Athletico-PR at Vasco da Gama | 0–1 | 46% |
The teams
Questions and answers
Who won Vasco da Gama at Athletico-PR?
Vasco da Gama won 3–1 on 4 November 2026. Before the start PodiumOracle's model gave Vasco da Gama 18%.