6 Nov 2026 · Estadio Mineirão
Bahia at Cruzeiro
Bahia 2 – 3 Cruzeiro · Cruzeiro won. We had Cruzeiro at 54.2%, a draw at 26.6% and Bahia at 19.2%.
Ratings before the game: Cruzeiro 1585, Bahia 1540, plus 95 for playing at home.
Weather during the game: 20°C, wind 4 km/h (gusts 9).
The betting market (closing odds) had Cruzeiro at 53.1%.
What the markets said before the start
Each source's last price before the start, as a chance with the bookmaker's margin taken out. The model's forecast never uses them.
| Source | Cruzeiro | Draw | Bahia |
|---|---|---|---|
| The model | 54.2% | 26.6% | 19.2% |
| Bookmakers (3 books) | 53.9% | 24.0% | 22.1% |
| Polymarket | 55.2% | 23.4% | 21.4% |
| Kalshi | 54.9% | 23.3% | 21.8% |
Form coming in
Last five results before this game: Bahia LWLDW, Cruzeiro WLWWW.
Other meetings this season
| Date | Game | Score | Pre-game chance of the winner |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10 May 2026 | Cruzeiro at Bahia | 2–1 | 23% |
The teams
Questions and answers
Who won Bahia at Cruzeiro?
Cruzeiro won 3–2 on 6 November 2026. Before the start PodiumOracle's model gave Cruzeiro 54%.