4 Nov 2026 · Estadio do Maracana
Grêmio at Flamengo
Grêmio 1 – 3 Flamengo · Flamengo won. We had Flamengo at 76.5%, a draw at 15.5% and Grêmio at 8.0%.
Ratings before the game: Flamengo 1699, Grêmio 1479, plus 95 for playing at home.
Weather during the game: 24°C, wind 8 km/h (gusts 20).
The betting market (closing odds) had Flamengo at 83.0%.
What the markets said before the start
Each source's last price before the start, as a chance with the bookmaker's margin taken out. The model's forecast never uses them.
| Source | Flamengo | Draw | Grêmio |
|---|---|---|---|
| The model | 76.5% | 15.5% | 8.0% |
| Bookmakers (3 books) | 84.5% | 10.3% | 5.2% |
| Polymarket | 86.1% | 9.4% | 4.5% |
| Kalshi | 85.7% | 8.9% | 5.4% |
Form coming in
Last five results before this game: Grêmio DDLWW, Flamengo DWWWW.
Other meetings this season
| Date | Game | Score | Pre-game chance of the winner |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10 May 2026 | Flamengo at Grêmio | 1–0 | 42% |
The teams
Questions and answers
Who won Grêmio at Flamengo?
Flamengo won 3–1 on 4 November 2026. Before the start PodiumOracle's model gave Flamengo 77%.