Week 11 · 14 Nov 2026 · Tiger Stadium (LA)
Texas at LSU
We have LSU at 28.5% and Texas at 71.5%.
Ratings going in: LSU 2241, Texas 2445, plus 45 for playing at home.
Weather forecast: 19°C, wind 10 km/h (gusts 13).
How the markets have moved so far
Each source's latest price, as a chance with the bookmaker's margin taken out. The model's forecast never uses them.
| Source | LSU | Texas |
|---|---|---|
| The model | 28.5% | 71.5% |
| Kalshi | 62.0% | 38.0% |
Form coming in
Last five results before this game: Texas LLWWW, LSU WLWWL.
The teams
Questions and answers
Who will win Texas at LSU?
PodiumOracle's model makes Texas the favourite at 71%, with LSU at 29%. The markets give Texas 37% on Polymarket, 38% on Kalshi and 38% on the bookmakers. It's a chance, not a certainty: a 71% favourite still loses 29% of the time.
When and where is Texas at LSU?
14 November 2026, at Tiger Stadium (LA) (Week 11). The chances update until the start, and live during the game where there's a live feed.