SEC
Texas
Rated 2445 (No. 3 of 138), 7–2 this season, 8% to win the national championship.
Season outlook
From 10,000 simulations of the rest of the season from today's ratings.
- 1%
- Best record in conference
- 59%
- Make playoff
- 1%
- First-round bye
- 25%
- Semifinal
- 15%
- Title game
- 8%
- Win title
- 9.5
- Projected wins
Rating
Texas is rated 2445, No. 3 of 138. The gap between two ratings is what the model turns into a win chance: about 100 points makes a 64% favourite on a neutral ground.
Next
| Date | Game | Away | Home |
|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Nov 2026 | Texas at LSU | 71% | 29% |
Questions and answers
What is Texas' chance of winning the 2026 national championship?
8%, from 10,000 simulations of the rest of the season. Texas are No. 3 of 138 in PodiumOracle's power ratings, updated 12 November 2026.
Who do Texas play next, and what are their chances?
Texas at LSU on 14 November 2026 at Tiger Stadium (LA). PodiumOracle's model gives Texas 71%.