Week 10 · 8 Nov 2026 · Notre Dame Stadium
Miami at Notre Dame
Miami 24 – 31 Notre Dame · Notre Dame won. We had Notre Dame at 41.1% and Miami at 58.9%.
Ratings before the game: Notre Dame 2342, Miami 2450, plus 45 for playing at home.
Weather during the game: 4°C, wind 4 km/h (gusts 9).
The betting market (closing spread) had Notre Dame at 68.6%, spread -7.5.
What the markets said before the start
Each source's last price before the start, as a chance with the bookmaker's margin taken out. The model's forecast never uses them.
| Source | Notre Dame | Miami |
|---|---|---|
| The model | 41.1% | 58.9% |
| Bookmakers (3 books) | 71.3% | 28.7% |
| Polymarket | 71.5% | 28.5% |
| Kalshi | 70.0% | 30.0% |
Form coming in
Last five results before this game: Miami WWWWW, Notre Dame WWWLW.
The teams
Questions and answers
Who won Miami at Notre Dame?
Notre Dame won 31–24 on 8 November 2026. Before the start PodiumOracle's model gave Notre Dame 41%.