FBS Independents
Notre Dame
Rated 2390 (No. 5 of 138), 8–1 this season, 11% to win the national championship.
Season outlook
From 10,000 simulations of the rest of the season from today's ratings.
- 100%
- Best record in conference
- 99%
- Make playoff
- 60%
- First-round bye
- 53%
- Semifinal
- 25%
- Title game
- 11%
- Win title
- 10.8
- Projected wins
Rating
Notre Dame is rated 2390, No. 5 of 138. The gap between two ratings is what the model turns into a win chance: about 100 points makes a 64% favourite on a neutral ground.
Next
| Date | Game | Away | Home |
|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Nov 2026 | Boston College at Notre Dame | 2% | 98% |
Recent results
| Date | Game | Score | Pre-game chance of the winner |
|---|---|---|---|
| 8 Nov 2026 | Miami at Notre Dame | 24–31 | 41% |
Questions and answers
What is Notre Dame's chance of winning the 2026 national championship?
11%, from 10,000 simulations of the rest of the season. Notre Dame is No. 5 of 138 in PodiumOracle's power ratings, updated 12 November 2026.
Who do Notre Dame play next, and what are their chances?
Boston College at Notre Dame on 14 November 2026 at Notre Dame Stadium. PodiumOracle's model gives Notre Dame 98%.