Week 11 · 14 Nov 2026 · Gerald J. Ford Stadium
Wake Forest at SMU
We have SMU at 56.6% and Wake Forest at 43.4%.
Ratings going in: SMU 2129, Wake Forest 2128, plus 45 for playing at home.
Weather forecast: 17°C, wind 17 km/h (gusts 23).
How the markets have moved so far
Each source's latest price, as a chance with the bookmaker's margin taken out. The model's forecast never uses them.
| Source | SMU | Wake Forest |
|---|---|---|
| The model | 56.6% | 43.4% |
| Bookmakers (3 books) | 50.3% | 49.7% |
| Polymarket | 50.5% | 49.5% |
| Kalshi | 50.0% | 50.0% |
Form coming in
Last five results before this game: Wake Forest WWWWW, SMU WWWLW.
The teams
Questions and answers
Who will win Wake Forest at SMU?
PodiumOracle's model makes SMU the favourite at 57%, with Wake Forest at 43%. The markets give SMU 51% on Polymarket, 50% on Kalshi and 50% on the bookmakers. It's a chance, not a certainty: a 57% favourite still loses 43% of the time.
When and where is Wake Forest at SMU?
14 November 2026, at Gerald J. Ford Stadium (Week 11). The chances update until the start, and live during the game where there's a live feed.