ACC

SMU

Rated 2129 (No. 23 of 138), 7–2 this season, <1% to win the national championship.

Season outlook

From 10,000 simulations of the rest of the season from today's ratings.

<1%
Best record in conference
6%
Make playoff
0%
First-round bye
1%
Semifinal
<1%
Title game
<1%
Win title
8.5
Projected wins

Rating

SMU is rated 2129, No. 23 of 138. The gap between two ratings is what the model turns into a win chance: about 100 points makes a 64% favourite on a neutral ground.

Next

DateGameAwayHome
14 Nov 2026Wake Forest at SMU43%57%

Questions and answers

What is SMU's chance of winning the 2026 national championship?

Under 1%, from 10,000 simulations of the rest of the season. SMU is No. 23 of 138 in PodiumOracle's power ratings, updated 12 November 2026.

Who do SMU play next, and what are their chances?

Wake Forest at SMU on 14 November 2026 at Gerald J. Ford Stadium. PodiumOracle's model gives SMU 57%.