Week 10 · 8 Nov 2026 · Maverik Stadium
Fresno State at Utah State
Fresno State 10 – 17 Utah State · Utah State won. We had Utah State at 29.4% and Fresno State at 70.6%.
Ratings before the game: Utah State 1657, Fresno State 1854, plus 45 for playing at home.
Weather during the game: 6°C, wind 4 km/h (gusts 4).
The betting market (closing spread) had Utah State at 53.8%, spread -1.5.
What the markets said before the start
Each source's last price before the start, as a chance with the bookmaker's margin taken out. The model's forecast never uses them.
| Source | Utah State | Fresno State |
|---|---|---|
| The model | 29.4% | 70.6% |
| Bookmakers (3 books) | 50.2% | 49.8% |
| Polymarket | 49.5% | 50.5% |
| Kalshi | 50.0% | 50.0% |
Form coming in
Last five results before this game: Fresno State WWLLW, Utah State WLWLW.
The teams
Questions and answers
Who won Fresno State at Utah State?
Utah State won 17–10 on 8 November 2026. Before the start PodiumOracle's model gave Utah State 29%.