Pac-12
Fresno State
Rated 1794 (No. 76 of 138), 5–4 this season, 0% to win the national championship.
Season outlook
From 10,000 simulations of the rest of the season from today's ratings.
- 0%
- Best record in conference
- 0%
- Make playoff
- 0%
- First-round bye
- 0%
- Semifinal
- 0%
- Title game
- 0%
- Win title
- 6.1
- Projected wins
Rating
Fresno State is rated 1794, No. 76 of 138. The gap between two ratings is what the model turns into a win chance: about 100 points makes a 64% favourite on a neutral ground.
Next
| Date | Game | Away | Home |
|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Nov 2026 | Fresno State at Texas State | 28% | 72% |
Recent results
| Date | Game | Score | Pre-game chance of the winner |
|---|---|---|---|
| 8 Nov 2026 | Fresno State at Utah State | 10–17 | 29% |
Questions and answers
What is Fresno State's chance of winning the 2026 national championship?
0%, from 10,000 simulations of the rest of the season. Fresno State is No. 76 of 138 in PodiumOracle's power ratings, updated 12 November 2026.
Who do Fresno State play next, and what are their chances?
Fresno State at Texas State on 14 November 2026 at Bobcat Stadium (TX). PodiumOracle's model gives Fresno State 28%.