Week 11 · 14 Nov 2026 · Albertsons Stadium
Oregon State at Boise State
We have Boise State at 90.6% and Oregon State at 9.4%.
Ratings going in: Boise State 2072, Oregon State 1723, plus 45 for playing at home.
Weather forecast: 11°C, wind 8 km/h (gusts 14).
How the markets have moved so far
Each source's latest price, as a chance with the bookmaker's margin taken out. The model's forecast never uses them.
| Source | Boise State | Oregon State |
|---|---|---|
| The model | 90.6% | 9.4% |
| Bookmakers (3 books) | 80.8% | 19.2% |
| Polymarket | 82.0% | 18.0% |
| Kalshi | 82.5% | 17.5% |
Form coming in
Last five results before this game: Oregon State WWWLL, Boise State WWWWW.
The teams
Questions and answers
Who will win Oregon State at Boise State?
PodiumOracle's model makes Boise State the favourite at 91%, with Oregon State at 9%. The markets give Boise State 83% on Polymarket, 83% on Kalshi and 81% on the bookmakers. It's a chance, not a certainty: a 91% favourite still loses 9% of the time.
When and where is Oregon State at Boise State?
14 November 2026, at Albertsons Stadium (Week 11). The chances update until the start, and live during the game where there's a live feed.