Pac-12

Boise State

Rated 2073 (No. 34 of 138), 8–1 this season, <1% to win the national championship.

Season outlook

From 10,000 simulations of the rest of the season from today's ratings.

100%
Best record in conference
51%
Make playoff
0%
First-round bye
3%
Semifinal
<1%
Title game
<1%
Win title
9.8
Projected wins

Rating

Boise State is rated 2073, No. 34 of 138. The gap between two ratings is what the model turns into a win chance: about 100 points makes a 64% favourite on a neutral ground.

Next

DateGameAwayHome
14 Nov 2026Oregon State at Boise State9%91%

Recent results

DateGameScorePre-game chance of the winner
7 Nov 2026Boise State at Colorado State64–3894%

Questions and answers

What is Boise State's chance of winning the 2026 national championship?

Under 1%, from 10,000 simulations of the rest of the season. Boise State is No. 34 of 138 in PodiumOracle's power ratings, updated 12 November 2026.

Who do Boise State play next, and what are their chances?

Oregon State at Boise State on 14 November 2026 at Albertsons Stadium. PodiumOracle's model gives Boise State 91%.