Week 11 · 15 Nov 2026 · Alamodome
North Texas at UTSA
We have UTSA at 55.0% and North Texas at 45.0%.
Ratings going in: UTSA 1893, North Texas 1903, plus 45 for playing at home.
How the markets have moved so far
Each source's latest price, as a chance with the bookmaker's margin taken out. The model's forecast never uses them.
| Source | UTSA | North Texas |
|---|---|---|
| The model | 55.0% | 45.0% |
| Polymarket | 46.0% | 54.0% |
Form coming in
Last five results before this game: North Texas WWWWW, UTSA WWWWL.
The teams
Questions and answers
Who will win North Texas at UTSA?
PodiumOracle's model makes UTSA the favourite at 55%, with North Texas at 45%. The markets give UTSA 46% on Polymarket and 46% on Kalshi. It's a chance, not a certainty: a 55% favourite still loses 45% of the time.
When and where is North Texas at UTSA?
15 November 2026, at Alamodome (Week 11). The chances update until the start, and live during the game where there's a live feed.