American Athletic
North Texas
Rated 1904 (No. 57 of 138), 7–2 this season, 0% to win the national championship.
Season outlook
From 10,000 simulations of the rest of the season from today's ratings.
- 32%
- Best record in conference
- 4%
- Make playoff
- 0%
- First-round bye
- <1%
- Semifinal
- <1%
- Title game
- 0%
- Win title
- 9.0
- Projected wins
Rating
North Texas is rated 1904, No. 57 of 138. The gap between two ratings is what the model turns into a win chance: about 100 points makes a 64% favourite on a neutral ground.
Next
| Date | Game | Away | Home |
|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Nov 2026 | North Texas at UTSA | 45% | 55% |
Recent results
| Date | Game | Score | Pre-game chance of the winner |
|---|---|---|---|
| 7 Nov 2026 | Rice at North Texas | 23–52 | 95% |
Questions and answers
What is North Texas' chance of winning the 2026 national championship?
0%, from 10,000 simulations of the rest of the season. North Texas are No. 57 of 138 in PodiumOracle's power ratings, updated 12 November 2026.
Who do North Texas play next, and what are their chances?
North Texas at UTSA on 15 November 2026 at Alamodome. PodiumOracle's model gives North Texas 45%.