Week 11 · 15 Nov 2026 · University Stadium (NM)
UNLV at New Mexico
We have New Mexico at 78.3% and UNLV at 21.6%.
Ratings going in: New Mexico 1934, UNLV 1756, plus 45 for playing at home.
Weather forecast: 13°C, wind 26 km/h (gusts 26), rain 0.7 mm/h.
How the markets have moved so far
Each source's latest price, as a chance with the bookmaker's margin taken out. The model's forecast never uses them.
| Source | New Mexico | UNLV |
|---|---|---|
| The model | 78.3% | 21.6% |
| Bookmakers (3 books) | 83.0% | 17.0% |
| Polymarket | 84.5% | 15.5% |
| Kalshi | 83.5% | 16.5% |
Form coming in
Last five results before this game: UNLV WWLWL, New Mexico WWWWW.
The teams
Questions and answers
Who will win UNLV at New Mexico?
PodiumOracle's model makes New Mexico the favourite at 78%, with UNLV at 22%. The markets give New Mexico 84% on Polymarket, 84% on Kalshi and 83% on the bookmakers. It's a chance, not a certainty: a 78% favourite still loses 22% of the time.
When and where is UNLV at New Mexico?
15 November 2026, at University Stadium (NM) (Week 11). The chances update until the start, and live during the game where there's a live feed.