Mountain West
New Mexico
Rated 1934 (No. 51 of 138), 8–1 this season, <1% to win the national championship.
Season outlook
From 10,000 simulations of the rest of the season from today's ratings.
- 72%
- Best record in conference
- 50%
- Make playoff
- 3%
- First-round bye
- 2%
- Semifinal
- <1%
- Title game
- <1%
- Win title
- 10.2
- Projected wins
Rating
New Mexico is rated 1934, No. 51 of 138. The gap between two ratings is what the model turns into a win chance: about 100 points makes a 64% favourite on a neutral ground.
Next
| Date | Game | Away | Home |
|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Nov 2026 | UNLV at New Mexico | 22% | 78% |
Questions and answers
What is New Mexico's chance of winning the 2026 national championship?
Under 1%, from 10,000 simulations of the rest of the season. New Mexico is No. 51 of 138 in PodiumOracle's power ratings, updated 12 November 2026.
Who do New Mexico play next, and what are their chances?
UNLV at New Mexico on 15 November 2026 at University Stadium (NM). PodiumOracle's model gives New Mexico 78%.