Week 10 · 7 Nov 2026 · Centennial Bank Stadium
UL Monroe at Arkansas State
UL Monroe 19 – 17 Arkansas State · UL Monroe won. We had Arkansas State at 87.1% and UL Monroe at 13.0%.
Ratings before the game: Arkansas State 1685, UL Monroe 1399, plus 45 for playing at home.
Weather during the game: 14°C, wind 7 km/h (gusts 9).
The betting market (closing spread) had Arkansas State at 82.5%, spread -14.5.
What the markets said before the start
Each source's last price before the start, as a chance with the bookmaker's margin taken out. The model's forecast never uses them.
| Source | Arkansas State | UL Monroe |
|---|---|---|
| The model | 87.1% | 13.0% |
| Polymarket | 83.5% | 16.5% |
| Kalshi | 85.0% | 15.0% |
Form coming in
Last five results before this game: UL Monroe LLLWL, Arkansas State WLLWW.
The teams
Questions and answers
Who won UL Monroe at Arkansas State?
UL Monroe won 19–17 on 7 November 2026. Before the start PodiumOracle's model gave UL Monroe 13%.