Sun Belt
Arkansas State
Rated 1642 (No. 104 of 138), 4–5 this season, 0% to win the national championship.
Season outlook
From 10,000 simulations of the rest of the season from today's ratings.
- 0%
- Best record in conference
- 0%
- Make playoff
- 0%
- First-round bye
- 0%
- Semifinal
- 0%
- Title game
- 0%
- Win title
- 5.3
- Projected wins
Rating
Arkansas State is rated 1642, No. 104 of 138. The gap between two ratings is what the model turns into a win chance: about 100 points makes a 64% favourite on a neutral ground.
Next
| Date | Game | Away | Home |
|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Nov 2026 | Arkansas State at Coastal Carolina | 56% | 44% |
Recent results
| Date | Game | Score | Pre-game chance of the winner |
|---|---|---|---|
| 7 Nov 2026 | UL Monroe at Arkansas State | 19–17 | 13% |
Questions and answers
What is Arkansas State's chance of winning the 2026 national championship?
0%, from 10,000 simulations of the rest of the season. Arkansas State is No. 104 of 138 in PodiumOracle's power ratings, updated 12 November 2026.
Who do Arkansas State play next, and what are their chances?
Arkansas State at Coastal Carolina on 14 November 2026 at Brooks Stadium (SC). PodiumOracle's model gives Arkansas State 56%.