ACC
Duke
Rated 2119 (No. 26 of 138), 7–2 this season, <1% to win the national championship.
Season outlook
From 10,000 simulations of the rest of the season from today's ratings.
- 1%
- Best record in conference
- 3%
- Make playoff
- 0%
- First-round bye
- <1%
- Semifinal
- <1%
- Title game
- <1%
- Win title
- 8.2
- Projected wins
Rating
Duke is rated 2119, No. 26 of 138. The gap between two ratings is what the model turns into a win chance: about 100 points makes a 64% favourite on a neutral ground.
Next
| Date | Game | Away | Home |
|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Nov 2026 | Duke at Miami | 13% | 87% |
Questions and answers
What is Duke's chance of winning the 2026 national championship?
Under 1%, from 10,000 simulations of the rest of the season. Duke is No. 26 of 138 in PodiumOracle's power ratings, updated 12 November 2026.
Who do Duke play next, and what are their chances?
Duke at Miami on 14 November 2026 at Hard Rock Stadium. PodiumOracle's model gives Duke 13%.