Sun Belt
Troy
Rated 1598 (No. 111 of 138), 4–5 this season, 0% to win the national championship.
Season outlook
From 10,000 simulations of the rest of the season from today's ratings.
- 0%
- Best record in conference
- 0%
- Make playoff
- 0%
- First-round bye
- 0%
- Semifinal
- 0%
- Title game
- 0%
- Win title
- 5.0
- Projected wins
Rating
Troy is rated 1598, No. 111 of 138. The gap between two ratings is what the model turns into a win chance: about 100 points makes a 64% favourite on a neutral ground.
Next
| Date | Game | Away | Home |
|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Nov 2026 | Troy at South Alabama | 38% | 62% |
Recent results
| Date | Game | Score | Pre-game chance of the winner |
|---|---|---|---|
| 7 Nov 2026 | Louisiana Tech at Troy | 41–17 | 72% |
Questions and answers
What is Troy's chance of winning the 2026 national championship?
0%, from 10,000 simulations of the rest of the season. Troy is No. 111 of 138 in PodiumOracle's power ratings, updated 12 November 2026.
Who do Troy play next, and what are their chances?
Troy at South Alabama on 15 November 2026 at Hancock Whitney Stadium. PodiumOracle's model gives Troy 38%.