Big 12
UCF
Rated 1861 (No. 66 of 138), 5–4 this season, 0% to win the national championship.
Season outlook
From 10,000 simulations of the rest of the season from today's ratings.
- 0%
- Best record in conference
- 0%
- Make playoff
- 0%
- First-round bye
- 0%
- Semifinal
- 0%
- Title game
- 0%
- Win title
- 6.4
- Projected wins
Rating
UCF is rated 1861, No. 66 of 138. The gap between two ratings is what the model turns into a win chance: about 100 points makes a 64% favourite on a neutral ground.
Next
| Date | Game | Away | Home |
|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Nov 2026 | Arizona State at UCF | 59% | 41% |
Recent results
| Date | Game | Score | Pre-game chance of the winner |
|---|---|---|---|
| 7 Nov 2026 | UCF at Kansas | 33–32 | 51% |
Questions and answers
What is UCF's chance of winning the 2026 national championship?
0%, from 10,000 simulations of the rest of the season. UCF is No. 66 of 138 in PodiumOracle's power ratings, updated 12 November 2026.
Who do UCF play next, and what are their chances?
Arizona State at UCF on 14 November 2026 at FBC Mortgage Stadium. PodiumOracle's model gives UCF 41%.