17 Oct 2026 · Stade Marcel Michelin
Leinster at Clermont Auvergne
Leinster 48 – 23 Clermont Auvergne · Leinster won. We had Clermont Auvergne at 38.7%, a draw at 3.3% and Leinster at 58.0%.
Ratings before the game: Clermont Auvergne 1474, Leinster 1672, plus 130 for playing at home.
Weather during the game: 10°C, wind 11 km/h (gusts 34), rain 0.2 mm/h.
What the markets said before the start
Each source's last price before the start, as a chance with the bookmaker's margin taken out. The model's forecast never uses them.
| Source | Clermont Auvergne | Draw | Leinster |
|---|---|---|---|
| The model | 38.7% | 3.3% | 58.0% |
| Bookmakers (2 books) | 23.1% | 3.4% | 73.6% |
| Polymarket | 21.8% | 20.5% | 57.7% |
Form coming in
Last five results before this game: Leinster no games yet, Clermont Auvergne no games yet.
The teams
Questions and answers
Who won Leinster at Clermont Auvergne?
Leinster won 48–23 on 17 October 2026. Before the start PodiumOracle's model gave Leinster 58%.