Pool 1
Leinster
Rated 1782 (No. 1 of 24), 1–0 this season, 30% to win the Champions Cup.
Season outlook
From 10,000 simulations of the rest of the season from today's ratings.
- >99%
- Reach last 16
- 85%
- Quarter-final
- 60%
- Semi-final
- 42%
- Reach final
- 30%
- Win
- 9.2
- Projected points
Rating
Leinster is rated 1782, No. 1 of 24. The gap between two ratings is what the model turns into a win chance: about 100 points makes a 64% favourite on a neutral ground.
Next
| Date | Game | Away | Draw | Home |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Dec 2026 | Sale Sharks at Leinster | 4% | 1% | 95% |
Recent results
| Date | Game | Score | Pre-game chance of the winner |
|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Oct 2026 | Leinster at Clermont Auvergne | 48–23 | 58% |
Questions and answers
What is Leinster's chance of winning the 2026–27 Champions Cup?
30%, from 10,000 simulations of the rest of the season. Leinster is No. 1 of 24 in PodiumOracle's power ratings, updated 12 November 2026.
Who do Leinster play next, and what are their chances?
Sale Sharks at Leinster on 12 December 2026 at Laya Arena. PodiumOracle's model gives Leinster 95%, a draw 1%.