17 Oct 2026 · Dexcom Stadium
Saracens at Connacht
Saracens 36 – 45 Connacht · Connacht won. We had Connacht at 54.6%, a draw at 3.4% and Saracens at 42.0%.
Ratings before the game: Connacht 1552, Saracens 1638, plus 130 for playing at home.
Weather during the game: 10°C, wind 7 km/h (gusts 15).
What the markets said before the start
Each source's last price before the start, as a chance with the bookmaker's margin taken out. The model's forecast never uses them.
| Source | Connacht | Draw | Saracens |
|---|---|---|---|
| The model | 54.6% | 3.4% | 42.0% |
| Polymarket | 35.6% | 6.3% | 58.2% |
Form coming in
Last five results before this game: Saracens no games yet, Connacht no games yet.
The teams
Questions and answers
Who won Saracens at Connacht?
Connacht won 45–36 on 17 October 2026. Before the start PodiumOracle's model gave Connacht 55%.