Pool 2
Connacht
Rated 1528 (No. 18 of 24), 1–0 this season, 1% to win the Champions Cup.
Season outlook
From 10,000 simulations of the rest of the season from today's ratings.
- 77%
- Reach last 16
- 31%
- Quarter-final
- 11%
- Semi-final
- 3%
- Reach final
- 1%
- Win
- 6.0
- Projected points
Rating
Connacht is rated 1528, No. 18 of 24. The gap between two ratings is what the model turns into a win chance: about 100 points makes a 64% favourite on a neutral ground.
Next
| Date | Game | Away | Draw | Home |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Dec 2026 | Connacht at Exeter Chiefs | 38% | 3% | 59% |
Recent results
| Date | Game | Score | Pre-game chance of the winner |
|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Oct 2026 | Saracens at Connacht | 36–45 | 55% |
Questions and answers
What is Connacht's chance of winning the 2026–27 Champions Cup?
1%, from 10,000 simulations of the rest of the season. Connacht is No. 18 of 24 in PodiumOracle's power ratings, updated 12 November 2026.
Who do Connacht play next, and what are their chances?
Connacht at Exeter Chiefs on 13 December 2026 at Sandy Park. PodiumOracle's model gives Connacht 38%, a draw 3%.