Pool 2

Exeter Chiefs

Rated 1473 (No. 22 of 24), 0–1 this season, <1% to win the Champions Cup.

Season outlook

From 10,000 simulations of the rest of the season from today's ratings.

65%
Reach last 16
20%
Quarter-final
4%
Semi-final
1%
Reach final
<1%
Win
3.9
Projected points

Rating

Exeter Chiefs is rated 1473, No. 22 of 24. The gap between two ratings is what the model turns into a win chance: about 100 points makes a 64% favourite on a neutral ground.

Next

DateGameAwayDrawHome
13 Dec 2026Connacht at Exeter Chiefs38%3%59%

Recent results

DateGameScorePre-game chance of the winner
18 Oct 2026Exeter Chiefs at Stade Toulousain40–4388%

Questions and answers

What is Exeter Chiefs' chance of winning the 2026–27 Champions Cup?

Under 1%, from 10,000 simulations of the rest of the season. Exeter Chiefs are No. 22 of 24 in PodiumOracle's power ratings, updated 12 November 2026.

Who do Exeter Chiefs play next, and what are their chances?

Connacht at Exeter Chiefs on 13 December 2026 at Sandy Park. PodiumOracle's model gives Exeter Chiefs 59%, a draw 3%.