18 Oct 2026 · Stadium de Toulouse
Exeter Chiefs at Stade Toulousain
Exeter Chiefs 40 – 43 Stade Toulousain · Stade Toulousain won. We had Stade Toulousain at 87.8%, a draw at 1.4% and Exeter Chiefs at 10.8%.
Ratings before the game: Stade Toulousain 1756, Exeter Chiefs 1532, plus 130 for playing at home.
Weather during the game: 15°C, wind 6 km/h (gusts 19).
What the markets said before the start
Each source's last price before the start, as a chance with the bookmaker's margin taken out. The model's forecast never uses them.
| Source | Stade Toulousain | Draw | Exeter Chiefs |
|---|---|---|---|
| The model | 87.8% | 1.4% | 10.8% |
| Bookmakers (2 books) | 92.9% | 1.8% | 5.2% |
Form coming in
Last five results before this game: Exeter Chiefs no games yet, Stade Toulousain no games yet.
The teams
Questions and answers
Who won Exeter Chiefs at Stade Toulousain?
Stade Toulousain won 43–40 on 18 October 2026. Before the start PodiumOracle's model gave Stade Toulousain 88%.