Pool 2
Stade Toulousain
Rated 1718 (No. 4 of 24), 1–0 this season, 7% to win the Champions Cup.
Season outlook
From 10,000 simulations of the rest of the season from today's ratings.
- 83%
- Reach last 16
- 58%
- Quarter-final
- 34%
- Semi-final
- 16%
- Reach final
- 7%
- Win
- 7.0
- Projected points
Rating
Stade Toulousain is rated 1718, No. 4 of 24. The gap between two ratings is what the model turns into a win chance: about 100 points makes a 64% favourite on a neutral ground.
Next
| Date | Game | Away | Draw | Home |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Dec 2026 | Stade Toulousain at Lions | 63% | 3% | 34% |
Recent results
| Date | Game | Score | Pre-game chance of the winner |
|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Oct 2026 | Exeter Chiefs at Stade Toulousain | 40–43 | 88% |
Questions and answers
What is Stade Toulousain's chance of winning the 2026–27 Champions Cup?
7%, from 10,000 simulations of the rest of the season. Stade Toulousain is No. 4 of 24 in PodiumOracle's power ratings, updated 12 November 2026.
Who do Stade Toulousain play next, and what are their chances?
Stade Toulousain at Lions on 12 December 2026 at Ellis Park. PodiumOracle's model gives Stade Toulousain 63%, a draw 3%.