Group B

New Zealand

Rated 1717 (No. 3 of 24), 0–0 this season, 14% to win the Cricket World Cup.

Season outlook

From 10,000 simulations of the rest of the season from today's ratings.

72%
Reach Super Six
56%
Semi-final
29%
Reach final
14%
Win
7.9
Projected points

Rating

New Zealand is rated 1717, No. 3 of 24. The gap between two ratings is what the model turns into a win chance: about 100 points makes a 64% favourite on a neutral ground.

Next

DateMatchFirst namedSecond named
13 Nov 2026India vs New Zealand62%38%
15 Nov 2026India vs New Zealand62%38%

Recent results

DateMatchScorePre-game chance of the winner
7 Nov 2026India vs New ZealandIndia won by 4 runs (DLS)60%
4 Nov 2026India vs New ZealandIndia won by 5 wkts (56b rem) (DLS)55%

Questions and answers

What is New Zealand's chance of winning the Road to 2027 Cricket World Cup?

14%, from 10,000 simulations of the rest of the season. New Zealand is No. 3 of 24 in PodiumOracle's power ratings, updated 12 November 2026.

Who do New Zealand play next, and what are their chances?

India vs New Zealand on 13 November 2026 at Bay Oval, Mount Maunganui. PodiumOracle's model gives New Zealand 38%.