Cricket · Road to 2027 season
ICC Men's Cricket World Cup forecasts
Win probabilities for every match from a rating model fit only on past results, with the season simulated 10,000 times for the Cricket World Cup odds. Favourite right now: India, 34%.
Upcoming
| Date | Match | First named | Second named |
|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Nov 2026 | India vs New Zealand | 62% | 38% |
| 13 Nov 2026 | England vs Australia | 52% | 48% |
| 15 Nov 2026 | India vs New Zealand | 62% | 38% |
| 15 Nov 2026 | England vs Australia | 52% | 48% |
| 18 Nov 2026 | England vs Australia | 52% | 48% |
| 1 Dec 2026 | Bangladesh vs South Africa | 38% | 62% |
Recent results
| Date | Match | Score | Pre-game chance of the winner |
|---|---|---|---|
| 7 Nov 2026 | India vs New Zealand | India won by 4 runs (DLS) | 60% |
| 4 Nov 2026 | Oman vs United Arab Emirates | U.A.E. won by 42 runs | 61% |
| 4 Nov 2026 | India vs New Zealand | India won by 5 wkts (56b rem) (DLS) | 55% |
Chance of winning the Cricket World Cup
| Nation | Reach Super Six | Semi-final | Reach final | Win |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| India | 84% | 77% | 51% | 34% |
| New Zealand | 72% | 56% | 29% | 14% |
| Pakistan | 67% | 53% | 28% | 14% |
| England | 55% | 39% | 18% | 9% |
| South Africa | 59% | 40% | 19% | 8% |
| Australia | 59% | 39% | 17% | 8% |
| Afghanistan | 55% | 35% | 16% | 7% |
| Sri Lanka | 41% | 23% | 9% | 3% |
| Bangladesh | 37% | 17% | 6% | 2% |
| West Indies | 30% | 12% | 4% | 1% |
Questions and answers
Who is favoured to win the Road to 2027 Cricket World Cup?
India, at 34%, ahead of New Zealand (14%), Pakistan (14%) and England (9%). That's from 10,000 simulations of the rest of the season with PodiumOracle's current ratings, updated 12 November 2026.
What are the odds for the next ICC Men's Cricket World Cup matches?
According to PodiumOracle's model: India vs New Zealand (13 November 2026): India 62%; England vs Australia (13 November 2026): England 52%; India vs New Zealand (15 November 2026): India 62%. Every upcoming one's chances are on this page and update until the start.
How accurate are PodiumOracle's ICC Men's Cricket World Cup predictions?
On 1,304 games from held-back seasons (Road to 2019 to Road to 2027), which the model never saw while it was tuned, the side it favoured won 64% of the time. Its log loss was 0.636, against 0.703 for the base rate and 0.679 for recent form.
How are the ICC Men's Cricket World Cup predictions made?
Every nation has a rating that moves after each result, by more when the result was a surprise. The gap between two ratings, plus home advantage, gives each game's chance, and the rest of the season is simulated 10,000 times, with the league's own format, for the Cricket World Cup odds. The settings are chosen on older seasons and tested on the most recent ones.