PodiumOracle ICC Men's Cricket World Cup

Cricket · Road to 2027 season

ICC Men's Cricket World Cup forecasts

Win probabilities for every match from a rating model fit only on past results, with the season simulated 10,000 times for the Cricket World Cup odds. Favourite right now: India, 33%.

Upcoming

DateMatchHomeAway
27 Sep 2026Australia vs South Africa54%46%
27 Sep 2026West Indies vs India80%20%
27 Sep 2026Sri Lanka vs England57%43%
30 Sep 2026West Indies vs India80%20%
30 Sep 2026Australia vs South Africa54%46%
3 Oct 2026West Indies vs India80%20%
3 Oct 2026United Arab Emirates vs Namibia56%44%
5 Oct 2026United Arab Emirates vs United States of America70%30%
7 Oct 2026Namibia vs United States of America65%35%
9 Oct 2026Canada vs Oman61%39%
9 Oct 2026United Arab Emirates vs Namibia56%44%
11 Oct 2026Nepal vs Canada27%73%
11 Oct 2026United Arab Emirates vs United States of America70%30%
13 Oct 2026Nepal vs Oman38%62%
13 Oct 2026Namibia vs United States of America65%35%
15 Oct 2026Canada vs Oman61%39%
17 Oct 2026Zimbabwe vs Bangladesh74%26%
17 Oct 2026Nepal vs Canada27%73%

Recent results

All results

DateMatchScorePre-game chance of the winner
24 Sep 2026Sri Lanka vs England16–039%
24 Sep 2026Australia vs South Africa0–6748%
22 Sep 2026Sri Lanka vs England0–8956%
20 Sep 2026Australia vs Zimbabwe12–078%

Chance of winning the Cricket World Cup

Every nation

NationReach Super SixSemi-finalReach finalWin
India83%75%50%33%
New Zealand80%66%37%19%
South Africa65%45%21%10%
England58%43%21%9%
Pakistan55%39%19%8%
Sri Lanka56%32%13%5%
Afghanistan55%32%13%5%
Australia46%29%13%5%
Bangladesh40%23%9%4%
West Indies30%10%3%1%