PodiumOracle Formula 1

Round 15 · 26 Sep 2026 · Baku City Circuit

Azerbaijan Grand Prix

Each driver's chance from 20,000 simulations of the Grand Prix, using ratings fit only on earlier results. The entry list isn't out yet, so the field is the last Grand Prix's. In the championship, Andrea Kimi Antonelli is 99% to win the title.

The field

DriverWinPodium
Andrea Kimi Antonelli31%75%
George Russell18%55%
Lando Norris12%40%
Max Verstappen11%38%
Charles Leclerc11%36%
Lewis Hamilton9%30%
Oscar Piastri6%21%
Liam Lawson<1%1%
Carlos Sainz<1%1%
Oliver Bearman<1%1%
Nico Hülkenberg<1%<1%
Sergio Pérez<1%<1%
Alexander Albon<1%<1%
Fernando Alonso<1%<1%
Arvid Lindblad<1%<1%
Esteban Ocon<1%<1%
Pierre Gasly<1%<1%
Yuki Tsunoda<1%<1%
Franco Colapinto<1%<1%
Gabriel Bortoleto<1%<1%
Lance Stroll<1%<1%
Valtteri Bottas<1%<1%

Chance of winning the World Championship

Every driver

DriverPointsProjectedTitle chance
Andrea Kimi Antonelli29241099%
George Russell2113171%
Lando Norris186282<1%
Lewis Hamilton191279<1%
Charles Leclerc167260<1%
Max Verstappen1452390%
Oscar Piastri1202010%
Liam Lawson59920%
Isack Hadjar71710%
Pierre Gasly41570%

Calendar