PodiumOracle Formula 1

McLaren

Oscar Piastri

Rated 1874, 9 wins in 90 starts, 4% to win the Las Vegas Grand Prix, 0% to win the World Championship.

1874
Rating: driver +355, car or team +20. 9 wins in 90 starts.
4%
To win the Las Vegas Grand Prix; podium 14%.
0%
Title chance. 152 points now, projected 175.

Results

Every Grand Prix in the model's window, newest first (the latest 60).

Grand PrixSeasonGridFinishNoteModel's pick
Brazilian Grand Prix2026106
Mexico City Grand Prix20261213
United States Grand Prix202677
Singapore Grand Prix202665
Singapore Grand Prix sprint2026414Retired
Bahrain Grand Prix in Malaysia202666
Azerbaijan Grand Prix2026313
Spanish Grand Prix202678
Italian Grand Prix202665
Dutch Grand Prix202646
Dutch Grand Prix sprint202645
Hungarian Grand Prix20263–Retired
Belgian Grand Prix202665
British Grand Prix2026811
British Grand Prix sprint202677
Austrian Grand Prix202674
Barcelona Grand Prix202675
Monaco Grand Prix202674
Canadian Grand Prix2026411Lapped
Canadian Grand Prix sprint202644
Miami Grand Prix202673
Miami Grand Prix sprint202632
Japanese Grand Prix202632
Chinese Grand Prix20265–Did not start
Chinese Grand Prix sprint202656
Australian Grand Prix20265–Did not start
Abu Dhabi Grand Prix202532
Qatar Grand Prix202512
Qatar Grand Prix sprint202511
Las Vegas Grand Prix20255–Disqualified
São Paulo Grand Prix202545
São Paulo Grand Prix sprint20253–Retired
Mexico City Grand Prix202575
United States Grand Prix202565Favourite
United States Grand Prix sprint20253–Retired
Singapore Grand Prix202534Favourite
Azerbaijan Grand Prix20259–RetiredFavourite
Italian Grand Prix202533Favourite
Dutch Grand Prix202511
Hungarian Grand Prix202522
Belgian Grand Prix202521
Belgian Grand Prix sprint202512
British Grand Prix202522
Austrian Grand Prix202532
Canadian Grand Prix202534
Spanish Grand Prix202511
Monaco Grand Prix202533
Emilia Romagna Grand Prix202513
Miami Grand Prix202541
Miami Grand Prix sprint202522
Saudi Arabian Grand Prix202521
Bahrain Grand Prix202511
Japanese Grand Prix202533
Chinese Grand Prix202511
Chinese Grand Prix sprint202532
Australian Grand Prix202529
Abu Dhabi Grand Prix2024210
Qatar Grand Prix202443
Qatar Grand Prix sprint202431
Las Vegas Grand Prix202487

Questions and answers

What are Oscar Piastri's chances in the Las Vegas Grand Prix?

4% to win and 14% to finish in the top three, from 20,000 simulations with PodiumOracle's ratings, updated 12 November 2026.

What is Oscar Piastri's chance of winning the 2026 World Championship?

0%, with 152 points so far, from 10,000 simulations of the rest of the season.