8 Nov 2026 · Estadio Nemesio Díez Riega
Monterrey at Toluca
Monterrey 0 – 4 Toluca · Toluca won. We had Toluca at 57.9%, a draw at 21.6% and Monterrey at 20.5%.
Ratings before the game: Toluca 1609, Monterrey 1523, plus 60 for playing at home.
Weather during the game: 14°C, wind 3 km/h (gusts 13).
The betting market (closing odds) had Toluca at 55.6%.
What the markets said before the start
Each source's last price before the start, as a chance with the bookmaker's margin taken out. The model's forecast never uses them.
| Source | Toluca | Draw | Monterrey |
|---|---|---|---|
| The model | 57.9% | 21.6% | 20.5% |
| Bookmakers (3 books) | 57.4% | 22.2% | 20.4% |
| Polymarket | 57.2% | 22.4% | 20.4% |
| Kalshi | 56.9% | 21.6% | 21.6% |
Form coming in
Last five results before this game: Monterrey DWWLD, Toluca LDDDD.
The teams
Questions and answers
Who won Monterrey at Toluca?
Toluca won 4–0 on 8 November 2026. Before the start PodiumOracle's model gave Toluca 58%.