Liga MX
Toluca
Rated 1618 (No. 2 of 18), 7–3–6 this season, 18% to win the Liga MX title.
Season outlook
From 10,000 simulations of the rest of the season from today's ratings.
- 60%
- Top four
- 100%
- Make Liguilla
- 67%
- Semi-final
- 34%
- Reach final
- 18%
- Win title
- 28.4
- Projected points
Rating
Toluca is rated 1618, No. 2 of 18. The gap between two ratings is what the model turns into a win chance: about 100 points makes a 64% favourite on a neutral ground.
Recent results
| Date | Game | Score | Pre-game chance of the winner |
|---|---|---|---|
| 8 Nov 2026 | Monterrey at Toluca | 0–4 | 58% |
Questions and answers
What is Toluca's chance of winning the Apertura 2026 Liga MX title?
18%, from 10,000 simulations of the rest of the season. Toluca is No. 2 of 18 in PodiumOracle's power ratings, updated 12 November 2026.