LIV Golf

LIV Golf ratings and forecasts. Jon Rahm is 29% to win the individual championship.

Chance of winning the individual championship

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Questions and answers

Who is favoured to win the 2027 individual championship?

Jon Rahm, at 29%, ahead of Bryson DeChambeau (16%) and Joaquín Niemann (15%), from 2,000 simulations of the remaining tournaments with the real points system, updated 12 November 2026.

How accurate are PodiumOracle's LIV Golf predictions?

On 40 tournaments from held-back seasons (2024 to 2026), which the model never saw while it was tuned, its favourite won 10% of the time in fields of about 55, and it gave the eventual winner 6% on average. Its log loss was 3.305, against 4.005 for treating every player as equal and 3.544 for recent form. Against the betting markets on the same finished events, its log loss was 3.153 against Kalshi's 3.312 over 17 tournaments (lower is better).