2027 individual championship

Q: Who is favoured to win the 2027 individual championship?

Jon Rahm, at 29%, ahead of Bryson DeChambeau (16%) and Joaquín Niemann (15%), from 2,000 simulations of the remaining tournaments with the real points system, updated 12 November 2026.

The 2026 season is over. Until the 2027 schedule and fields are out, this plays every 2026 event again (12 of them, each with that event's field) 2,000 times with today's skill ratings: who wins the most, and how many each player can expect.

Players

Player	Projected	Title chance
Jon Rahm	2	29%
Bryson DeChambeau	1	16%
Joaquín Niemann	1	15%
Tyrrell Hatton	1	6%
David Puig	0	3%
Tom McKibbin	0	3%
Marc Leishman	0	3%
Dean Burmester	0	2%
Lucas Herbert	0	2%
Thomas Detry	0	2%
Abraham Ancer	0	2%
Victor Perez	0	2%
Branden Grace	0	2%
Scott Vincent	0	1%
Cameron Smith	0	1%
Sergio García	0	1%
Paul Casey	0	1%
Charles Howell III	0	1%
Laurie Canter	0	1%
Dustin Johnson	0	1%
Harold Varner III	0	1%
Byeong Hun An	0	1%
Carlos Ortiz	0	<1%
Adrian Meronk	0	<1%
Sebastián Muñoz	0	<1%
Thomas Pieters	0	<1%
Josele Ballester	0	<1%
Richard T. Lee	0	<1%
Caleb Surratt	0	<1%
Talor Gooch	0	<1%
Bubba Watson	0	<1%
Charl Schwartzel	0	<1%
Peter Uihlein	0	<1%
Louis Oosthuizen	0	<1%
Elvis Smylie	0	<1%
Brendan Steele	0	<1%
Anirban Lahiri	0	<1%
Richard Bland	0	<1%
Young-han Song	0	<1%
Ian Poulter	0	<1%
Lee Westwood	0	<1%
Cameron Tringale	0	<1%
Danny Lee	0	<1%
Ben Schmidt	0	<1%
Anthony Kim	0	<1%
Yosuke Asaji	0	<1%
Luis Masaveu	0	<1%
Michael La Sasso	0	<1%
Phil Mickelson	0	<1%
Matthew Wolff	0	0%
Björn Hellgren	0	0%
Ben Campbell	0	0%
Wade Ormsby	0	0%
Travis Smyth	0	0%
Martin Kaymer	0	0%
Jason Kokrak	0	0%

Questions and answers

Who is favoured to win the 2027 individual championship?

Jon Rahm, at 29%, ahead of Bryson DeChambeau (16%) and Joaquín Niemann (15%), from 2,000 simulations of the remaining tournaments with the real points system, updated 12 November 2026.