22 Apr 2026 · BMO Field
Philadelphia Union at Toronto FC
Philadelphia 3 – 3 Toronto · Draw. We had Toronto FC at 50.4%, a draw at 23.7% and Philadelphia Union at 25.9%.
Ratings before the game: Toronto 1483, Philadelphia 1490, plus 100 for playing at home.
Weather during the game: 15°C, wind 10 km/h (gusts 17).
The betting market (closing odds) had Toronto at 33.4%.
What the markets said before the start
Each source's last price before the start, as a chance with the bookmaker's margin taken out. The model's forecast never uses them.
| Source | Toronto | Draw | Philadelphia |
|---|---|---|---|
| The model | 50.4% | 23.7% | 25.9% |
| Bookmakers (2 books) | 33.8% | 28.0% | 38.2% |
| Polymarket | 33.0% | 27.1% | 39.9% |
| Kalshi | 34.0% | 27.1% | 38.9% |
Form coming in
Last five results before this game: Philadelphia Union LLLWD, Toronto FC DWWDD.
Other meetings this season
| Date | Game | Score | Pre-game chance of the winner |
|---|---|---|---|
| 7 Nov 2026 | Toronto FC at Philadelphia Union | 1–4 | 66% |
The teams
Questions and answers
Who won Philadelphia Union at Toronto FC?
It was a 3–3 draw on 22 April 2026. Before the start PodiumOracle's model gave a draw 24%.