7 Nov 2026 · Subaru Park
Toronto FC at Philadelphia Union
Toronto 1 – 4 Philadelphia · Philadelphia Union won. We had Philadelphia Union at 66.0%, a draw at 18.6% and Toronto FC at 15.5%.
Ratings before the game: Philadelphia 1567, Toronto 1462, plus 100 for playing at home.
Weather during the game: 13°C, wind 18 km/h (gusts 37).
The betting market (closing odds) had Philadelphia at 74.0%.
What the markets said before the start
Each source's last price before the start, as a chance with the bookmaker's margin taken out. The model's forecast never uses them.
| Source | Philadelphia | Draw | Toronto |
|---|---|---|---|
| The model | 66.0% | 18.6% | 15.5% |
| Bookmakers (3 books) | 73.7% | 15.4% | 10.9% |
| Polymarket | 76.1% | 14.4% | 9.4% |
| Kalshi | 76.2% | 14.4% | 9.4% |
Form coming in
Last five results before this game: Toronto FC DWLWL, Philadelphia Union WDLDL.
Other meetings this season
| Date | Game | Score | Pre-game chance of the winner |
|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Apr 2026 | Philadelphia Union at Toronto FC | 3–3 | 24% |
The teams
Questions and answers
Who won Toronto FC at Philadelphia Union?
Philadelphia Union won 4–1 on 7 November 2026. Before the start PodiumOracle's model gave Philadelphia Union 66%.