23 May 2026 · TQL Stadium
Orlando City SC at FC Cincinnati
Orlando 2 – 6 Cincinnati · FC Cincinnati won. We had FC Cincinnati at 56.1%, a draw at 22.2% and Orlando City SC at 21.7%.
Ratings before the game: Cincinnati 1505, Orlando 1472, plus 100 for playing at home.
Weather during the game: 22°C, wind 7 km/h (gusts 23).
The betting market (closing odds) had Cincinnati at 54.7%.
What the markets said before the start
Each source's last price before the start, as a chance with the bookmaker's margin taken out. The model's forecast never uses them.
| Source | Cincinnati | Draw | Orlando |
|---|---|---|---|
| The model | 56.1% | 22.2% | 21.7% |
| Bookmakers (2 books) | 56.0% | 21.2% | 22.8% |
| Polymarket | 56.1% | 21.0% | 22.9% |
| Kalshi | 55.7% | 20.4% | 23.9% |
Form coming in
Last five results before this game: Orlando City SC LWLWD, FC Cincinnati WWDLD.
Other meetings this season
| Date | Game | Score | Pre-game chance of the winner |
|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Aug 2026 | FC Cincinnati at Orlando City SC | 1–1 | 25% |
| Date | Game | Away | Draw | Home |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Nov 2026 | FC Cincinnati at Orlando City SC | 36% | 0% | 64% |
The teams
Questions and answers
Who won Orlando City SC at FC Cincinnati?
FC Cincinnati won 6–2 on 23 May 2026. Before the start PodiumOracle's model gave FC Cincinnati 56%.