15 Aug 2026 · Inter&Co Stadium
FC Cincinnati at Orlando City SC
Cincinnati 1 – 1 Orlando · Draw. We had Orlando City SC at 46.5%, a draw at 24.5% and FC Cincinnati at 29.0%.
Ratings before the game: Orlando 1490, Cincinnati 1525, plus 100 for playing at home.
Weather during the game: 30°C, wind 6 km/h (gusts 14), rain 0.1 mm/h.
The betting market (closing odds) had Orlando at 37.5%.
What the markets said before the start
Each source's last price before the start, as a chance with the bookmaker's margin taken out. The model's forecast never uses them.
| Source | Orlando | Draw | Cincinnati |
|---|---|---|---|
| The model | 46.5% | 24.5% | 29.0% |
| Bookmakers (3 books) | 36.5% | 23.3% | 40.2% |
| Polymarket | 37.3% | 22.4% | 40.3% |
| Kalshi | 37.6% | 21.8% | 40.6% |
Form coming in
Last five results before this game: FC Cincinnati DWWLW, Orlando City SC DLWWL.
Other meetings this season
| Date | Game | Score | Pre-game chance of the winner |
|---|---|---|---|
| 23 May 2026 | Orlando City SC at FC Cincinnati | 2–6 | 56% |
| Date | Game | Away | Draw | Home |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Nov 2026 | FC Cincinnati at Orlando City SC | 36% | 0% | 64% |
The teams
Questions and answers
Who won FC Cincinnati at Orlando City SC?
It was a 1–1 draw on 15 August 2026. Before the start PodiumOracle's model gave a draw 25%.