2 Aug 2026 · Soldier Field
Charlotte FC at Chicago Fire FC
Charlotte 1 – 2 Chicago · Chicago Fire FC won. We had Chicago Fire FC at 53.8%, a draw at 22.8% and Charlotte FC at 23.3%.
Ratings before the game: Chicago 1524, Charlotte 1508, plus 100 for playing at home.
Weather during the game: 21°C, wind 24 km/h (gusts 51), rain 1.0 mm/h.
The betting market (closing odds) had Chicago at 61.6%.
What the markets said before the start
Each source's last price before the start, as a chance with the bookmaker's margin taken out. The model's forecast never uses them.
| Source | Chicago | Draw | Charlotte |
|---|---|---|---|
| The model | 53.8% | 22.8% | 23.3% |
| Bookmakers (3 books) | 62.4% | 20.8% | 16.8% |
| Polymarket | 63.5% | 20.2% | 16.3% |
| Kalshi | 63.4% | 20.0% | 16.6% |
Form coming in
Last five results before this game: Charlotte FC LWWDW, Chicago Fire FC WWWLL.
Other meetings this season
| Date | Game | Score | Pre-game chance of the winner |
|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Sep 2026 | Chicago Fire FC at Charlotte FC | 1–0 | 23% |
| Date | Game | Away | Draw | Home |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Nov 2026 | Charlotte FC at Chicago Fire FC | 38% | 0% | 62% |
| 28 Nov 2026 | Chicago Fire FC at Charlotte FC | 35% | 0% | 65% |
| 2 Dec 2026 | Charlotte FC at Chicago Fire FC | 38% | 0% | 62% |
The teams
Questions and answers
Who won Charlotte FC at Chicago Fire FC?
Chicago Fire FC won 2–1 on 2 August 2026. Before the start PodiumOracle's model gave Chicago Fire FC 54%.