26 Sep 2026 · Bank of America Stadium
Chicago Fire FC at Charlotte FC
Chicago 1 – 0 Charlotte · Chicago Fire FC won. We had Charlotte FC at 54.2%, a draw at 22.7% and Chicago Fire FC at 23.1%.
Ratings before the game: Charlotte 1544, Chicago 1525, plus 100 for playing at home.
Weather during the game: 20°C, wind 8 km/h (gusts 19).
The betting market (closing odds) had Charlotte at 43.1%.
What the markets said before the start
Each source's last price before the start, as a chance with the bookmaker's margin taken out. The model's forecast never uses them.
| Source | Charlotte | Draw | Chicago |
|---|---|---|---|
| The model | 54.2% | 22.7% | 23.1% |
| Bookmakers (3 books) | 43.5% | 25.0% | 31.5% |
| Polymarket | 43.7% | 24.6% | 31.7% |
| Kalshi | 43.8% | 24.4% | 31.8% |
Form coming in
Last five results before this game: Chicago Fire FC DDDLL, Charlotte FC WDWDW.
Other meetings this season
| Date | Game | Score | Pre-game chance of the winner |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2 Aug 2026 | Charlotte FC at Chicago Fire FC | 1–2 | 54% |
| Date | Game | Away | Draw | Home |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Nov 2026 | Charlotte FC at Chicago Fire FC | 38% | 0% | 62% |
| 28 Nov 2026 | Chicago Fire FC at Charlotte FC | 35% | 0% | 65% |
| 2 Dec 2026 | Charlotte FC at Chicago Fire FC | 38% | 0% | 62% |
The teams
Questions and answers
Who won Chicago Fire FC at Charlotte FC?
Chicago Fire FC won 1–0 on 26 September 2026. Before the start PodiumOracle's model gave Chicago Fire FC 23%.