23 Aug 2026 · PayPal Park
Minnesota United FC at San Jose Earthquakes
Minnesota 5 – 1 San Jose · Minnesota United FC won. We had San Jose Earthquakes at 52.2%, a draw at 23.3% and Minnesota United FC at 24.6%.
Ratings before the game: San Jose 1500, Minnesota 1495, plus 100 for playing at home.
Weather during the game: 22°C, wind 8 km/h (gusts 23).
The betting market (closing odds) had San Jose at 39.9%.
What the markets said before the start
Each source's last price before the start, as a chance with the bookmaker's margin taken out. The model's forecast never uses them.
| Source | San Jose | Draw | Minnesota |
|---|---|---|---|
| The model | 52.2% | 23.3% | 24.6% |
| Bookmakers (3 books) | 40.0% | 25.2% | 34.8% |
| Polymarket | 40.3% | 24.4% | 35.3% |
| Kalshi | 40.2% | 24.5% | 35.3% |
Form coming in
Last five results before this game: Minnesota United FC LDDDL, San Jose Earthquakes LDLLL.
Other meetings this season
| Date | Game | Score | Pre-game chance of the winner |
|---|---|---|---|
| 8 Nov 2026 | San Jose Earthquakes at Minnesota United FC | 1–3 | 52% |
The teams
Questions and answers
Who won Minnesota United FC at San Jose Earthquakes?
Minnesota United FC won 5–1 on 23 August 2026. Before the start PodiumOracle's model gave Minnesota United FC 25%.